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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
Jul 20, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio do Dragao
M

Porto
6 - 1
Moreirense

Diaz (4'), Otavio (51'), Telles (53' pen.), Marega (62'), Tiquinho (78', 87')
Marega (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abreu (20')
Pasinato (53')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Moreirense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.3%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawMoreirense
71.85%18.22%9.93%
Both teams to score 41.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42%47.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.12%11.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.8%37.2%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.46%52.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.64%86.36%
Score Analysis
    Porto 71.84%
    Moreirense 9.93%
    Draw 18.22%
PortoDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 14.16%
1-0 @ 13.3%
3-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.12%
3-1 @ 6.47%
4-0 @ 5.36%
4-1 @ 3.45%
5-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 71.84%
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 18.22%
0-1 @ 4.02%
1-2 @ 2.75%
0-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 9.93%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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