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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
N

Porto
2 - 0
Nacional

Oliveira (21' pen.), Marega (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pedrao (20'), Azouni (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawNacional
71.37%17.73%10.9%
Both teams to score 46.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34%42.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93%65.07%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35%10.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51%34.49%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.51%47.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.15%82.85%
Score Analysis
    Porto 71.36%
    Nacional 10.9%
    Draw 17.73%
PortoDrawNacional
2-0 @ 12.68%
1-0 @ 11.32%
3-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-1 @ 7.05%
4-0 @ 5.3%
4-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.36%
1-1 @ 8.43%
0-0 @ 5.06%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 17.73%
0-1 @ 3.77%
1-2 @ 3.14%
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 10.9%

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