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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
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Porto
7 - 0
Portimonense

Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Portimonense

Buoyed by their win over Famalicao, Portimonense will head into the weekend with renewed confidence and look to cause an upset. However, they remain no match for an unbeaten Porto side who have won 13 of the last 14 meetings between the teams. The league leaders have dropped just four points from 14 home games this season and we predict they will keep this fine run going and come away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 7.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPortimonense
77.87%14.53%7.6%
Both teams to score 44.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54%38.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24%60.76%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.95%8.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.67%28.33%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.21%51.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.13%85.87%
Score Analysis
    Porto 77.86%
    Portimonense 7.6%
    Draw 14.53%
PortoDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 13.23%
3-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 7.32%
4-0 @ 7.01%
4-1 @ 4.61%
5-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.41%
5-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.52%
6-0 @ 1.48%
6-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 77.86%
1-1 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 4.17%
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.53%
0-1 @ 2.74%
1-2 @ 2.27%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 7.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Sunday, April 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Santa Clara
Monday, April 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-1 Porto
Sunday, March 20 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Porto
Thursday, March 17 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Tondela
Sunday, March 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Lyon
Wednesday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, April 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Braga
Sunday, March 20 at 8pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, March 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Portimonense
Sunday, February 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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