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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 15, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave
P

Rio Ave
0 - 3
Porto


Borevkovic (31'), Amaral (83'), Gabrielzinho (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (56'), Diaz (59'), Oliveira (68')
Uribe (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.23%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawPorto
13.4%21.38%65.22%
Both teams to score 43.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01%51.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27%73.73%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.92%49.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.99%84.01%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78%15.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12%43.88%
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 13.4%
    Porto 65.21%
    Draw 21.38%
Rio AveDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.32%
2-1 @ 3.56%
2-0 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.4%
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 14.06%
0-2 @ 13.23%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-3 @ 8.31%
1-3 @ 5.91%
0-4 @ 3.91%
1-4 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-5 @ 1.47%
1-5 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 65.21%

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