Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
