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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
 
M

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Moreirense

Goncalves (8', 75')
Santos (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Neto (3' og.)
Lacerda (74'), Galego (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 10%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.65%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawMoreirense
70.8%19.19%10%
Both teams to score 39.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74%51.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9%73.09%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73%13.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.94%40.06%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.29%54.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.3%87.7%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 70.79%
    Moreirense 10%
    Draw 19.19%
Sporting LisbonDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 14.8%
1-0 @ 14.65%
3-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-1 @ 6.01%
4-0 @ 5.04%
4-1 @ 3.04%
5-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 70.79%
1-1 @ 8.84%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.19%
0-1 @ 4.38%
1-2 @ 2.67%
0-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 10%

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