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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 at 8pm UK
 
T

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Tondela

Goncalves (45', 49'), Porro (79'), Sporar (90+3')
Palhinha (32'), Nunes (85'), Santos (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferreira (28'), Augusto (85')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Tondela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawTondela
60.54%22.99%16.47%
Both teams to score 45.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25%52.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62%74.38%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94%17.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78%47.22%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.86%45.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.95%81.04%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 60.53%
    Tondela 16.47%
    Draw 22.99%
Sporting LisbonDrawTondela
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 5.65%
4-0 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 60.53%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.12%
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.47%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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