Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
