Despite struggling for consistency, Vizela have been pretty decent on home turf, picking up three wins and one draw from five matches in all competitions. The visitors, on the other hand, are without a league win away from home this season and we predict the hosts will capitalize on this poor run and claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
