Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
