Alloa
1 - 3
Hearts

Cawley (87')
Williamson (54'), Hetherington (81')
Williamson (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Irving (35'), Frear (45'), Ginnelly (90+3')
Walker (55'), Irving (86')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Andy Irving, Elliott Frear and Josh Ginnelly were on target in the 3-1 victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Hearts
18.38%	21.44%	60.18%

Both teams to score 53.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.69%

43.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29%

65.71%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76%

37.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98%

74.02%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.03%

13.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.53%

41.47%

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 18.38%

Hearts 60.17%

Draw 21.43%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 5.14% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 2.54% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.38%	1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 5.2% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.43%	0-1 @ 10.24% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 3.21% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-5 @ 1.28% 1-5 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.94% Total : 60.17%