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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Glebe Park
HL

Brechin
1 - 4
Hearts

Bright (23')
Spark (17'), Robertson (32'), Macleod (42'), Sheridan (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dhanda (40'), McHattie (52' og.), Kabangu (62', 79')
Forrester (36'), Dhanda (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone U21s 2-1 Brechin
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1East Fife432.15Trouten
2Elgin301.58Dingwall
3Edinburgh271.35Young
4Peterhead271.35McAllister
5Clyde251.25Allan
6Stirling241.26Brown
7Bonnyrigg Rose211.17Ross
8Spartans211.24Henderson
9Forfar170.89McLean
10Stranraer160.89Russell
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Hearts
Sunday, January 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Brechin City 0-3 Hearts

The visitors are undoubtedly the favourites given they compete in the top flight of Scottish football, leaving us to anticipate a comfortable win for Hearts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 9.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.02%) and 0-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Brechin City win it was 1-0 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Brechin CityDrawHearts
9.16%15.31%75.53%
Both teams to score 48.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38%58.62%
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.24%46.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.69%82.31%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9%8.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.54%28.46%
Score Analysis
    Brechin City 9.16%
    Hearts 75.52%
    Draw 15.31%
Brechin CityDrawHearts
1-0 @ 2.88%
2-1 @ 2.75%
2-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 9.16%
1-1 @ 7.24%
0-0 @ 3.79%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 15.31%
0-2 @ 11.96%
0-3 @ 10.02%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 9.09%
1-3 @ 7.62%
0-4 @ 6.3%
1-4 @ 4.79%
0-5 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.9%
1-5 @ 2.41%
2-4 @ 1.82%
0-6 @ 1.33%
1-6 @ 1.01%
2-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 75.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Johnstone U21s 2-1 Brechin
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: East Fife 4-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-3 Alloa
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Morton 1-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 0-4 Hibernian U21s
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Hearts
Sunday, January 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Hearts
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Motherwell
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-2 Hibernian
Thursday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 St Johnstone
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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