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Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
SJ

Dundee
0 - 1
St Johnstone


McDaid (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melamed (20')
Gordon (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawSt Johnstone
34.96%25.95%39.09%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93%50.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95%72.05%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37%63%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84%25.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13%59.87%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 34.96%
    St Johnstone 39.09%
    Draw 25.95%
DundeeDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 8.93%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.59%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.09%

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