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Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Global Energy Stadium
IC

Ross County
1 - 3
Inverness

Mckay (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Todorov (40'), Mackay (54'), Sutherland (87')
Devine (15')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ross County win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Ross CountyDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
29.08%24.01%46.91%
Both teams to score 58.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44%43.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05%65.95%
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93%28.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26%63.74%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27%18.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.89%50.11%
Score Analysis
    Ross County 29.08%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 46.91%
    Draw 24%
Ross CountyDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 7.11%
1-0 @ 6.68%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 5.23%
0-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 46.91%


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