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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
ML

Dundee
1 - 0
Motherwell

Ashcroft (78')
Elliott (52'), Byrne (73'), Adam (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Donnelly (34'), Slattery (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawMotherwell
46.62%26.15%27.23%
Both teams to score 50.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31%53.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82%75.18%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18%56.81%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27%34.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54%71.45%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 46.61%
    Motherwell 27.23%
    Draw 26.14%
DundeeDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.61%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 27.23%

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