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HL
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2021 at 2pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
KL

Hibernian
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Magennis (51'), Nisbet (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McKenzie (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawKilmarnock
40.33%27.95%31.71%
Both teams to score 47.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.42%58.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.85%79.14%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55%28.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8%64.2%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09%33.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41%70.58%
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 40.32%
    Kilmarnock 31.71%
    Draw 27.95%
HibernianDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.71%

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