SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Elgin City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
34.89% ( -0.17) | 25.03% ( -0.05) | 40.08% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( 0.18) | 46.02% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( 0.17) | 68.32% ( -0.17) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( -0.02) | 25.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( -0.02) | 60.5% ( 0.02) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.19) | 22.83% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( 0.27) | 56.55% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.08% |
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