Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
