Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 39%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.