Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
38.35% ( 0.15) | 26.38% ( 0.11) | 35.27% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.87% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( -0.48) | 51.87% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.37% ( -0.42) | 73.63% ( 0.42) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( -0.14) | 26.39% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.19) | 61.54% ( 0.19) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( -0.39) | 28.18% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% ( -0.49) | 63.87% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.27% |
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