SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
62.9% ( 0.21) | 20.56% ( -0.07) | 16.54% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( 0.08) | 42.52% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( 0.08) | 64.92% ( -0.08) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.09% ( 0.08) | 12.91% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.67% ( 0.17) | 39.33% ( -0.17) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.09% ( -0.12) | 38.91% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.36% ( -0.12) | 75.64% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.56% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.54% |
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