Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
