SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 12.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Dundee win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee |
67.97% ( 0.02) | 19.17% ( -0.01) | 12.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( 0.04) | 44.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( 0.04) | 66.44% ( -0.04) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% ( 0.02) | 11.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.68% ( 0.03) | 37.32% ( -0.04) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.01) | 45.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.05% ( 0.01) | 80.95% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee |
| 2-0 @ 12.14% 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 67.97% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.17% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.03% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.86% |
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