Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
32.44%	26.98%	40.57%

Both teams to score 50.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22%

54.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91%

76.08%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.18%

67.81%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49%

26.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.29%

61.71%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 32.44%

St Johnstone 40.57%

Draw 26.98%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.44%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.57%