Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
37.81%	26.42%	35.77%

Both teams to score 52.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01%

51.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27%

73.72%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25%

26.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98%

62.02%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44%

63.56%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 37.81%

St Mirren 35.77%

Draw 26.41%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.81%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.77%