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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
36.1% ( -0.39) | 24.73% ( -0.08) | 39.17% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( 0.36) | 44.47% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( 0.35) | 66.84% ( -0.34) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.05) | 24.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( -0.07) | 58.56% ( 0.08) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( 0.41) | 22.6% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( 0.59) | 56.22% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.17% |
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