Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.59) 
-0.01) 
