Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
