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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
CL

AC Milan
3 - 0
Cagliari

Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawCagliari
56.38%22.4%21.22%
Both teams to score 55.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44%43.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05%65.95%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73%15.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04%43.96%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55%34.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84%71.16%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.38%
    Cagliari 21.22%
    Draw 22.4%
AC MilanDrawCagliari
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.92%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-1 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 21.22%


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