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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
RL

AC Milan
2 - 0
Roma

Rebic (76'), Calhanoglu (89' pen.)
Castillejo (41'), Rebic (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pellegrini (23'), Veretout (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
37.11%24.96%37.92%
Both teams to score 57.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53%45.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2%67.8%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58%58.42%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.8%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 37.12%
    Roma 37.92%
    Draw 24.96%
AC MilanDrawRoma
2-1 @ 8.32%
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-1 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.04%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.92%


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