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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
IL

Atalanta
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Djimsiti (25'), Toloi (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
D'Ambrosio (1'), Young (20')
de Vrij (23'), Brozovic (56'), Handanovic (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
43.27%24.02%32.71%
Both teams to score 60.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13%41.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73%64.27%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42%19.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5%51.5%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08%24.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45%59.55%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 43.27%
    Inter Milan 32.71%
    Draw 24.01%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.71%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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