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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
RL

Bologna
1 - 0
Roma

Svanberg (35')
Soriano (38'), Skorupski (88'), Sansone (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abraham (45+1'), Perez (59'), Zaniolo (72'), Mourinho (81'), Karsdorp (90+2')

We said: Bologna 1-1 Roma

While Roma have consistently performed well at Stadio Olimpico this season, that has not always been the case away from home. With that in mind, we are going to predict a low-scoring draw, a result which may be regarded as satisfactory by both clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawRoma
32.79%23.38%43.83%
Both teams to score 62.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24%38.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93%61.06%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61%23.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63%57.37%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92%18.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01%48.99%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 32.79%
    Roma 43.83%
    Draw 23.37%
BolognaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 7.63%
1-0 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.79%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 43.83%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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