We said: Bologna 1-1 Roma
While Roma have consistently performed well at Stadio Olimpico this season, that has not always been the case away from home. With that in mind, we are going to predict a low-scoring draw, a result which may be regarded as satisfactory by both clubs.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.