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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
HV

Brescia
2 - 0
Hellas Verona

Papetti (52'), Donnarumma (90+6')
Martella (17'), Papetti (43'), Spalek (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Carmine (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawHellas Verona
33.9%25.14%40.96%
Both teams to score 56.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31%46.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05%68.95%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48%26.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28%61.71%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66%56.33%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 33.9%
    Hellas Verona 40.96%
    Draw 25.13%
BresciaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.96%


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