Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for AC Milan in this match.