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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
LL

Genoa
1 - 4
Lazio

Patric (68' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-2 Lazio

Given how Genoa have performed in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of earning at least a share of the spoils against an inconsistent Lazio outfit. Nevertheless, we still expect the visitors to come through this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three in a competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawLazio
28.34%25.98%45.67%
Both teams to score 51.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59%52.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91%74.08%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82%33.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22%69.78%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1%22.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35%56.65%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 28.34%
    Lazio 45.67%
    Draw 25.98%
GenoaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-1 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.34%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 11.19%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 8.25%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Genoa
Monday, April 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Torino
Friday, March 18 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, March 13 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Empoli
Sunday, March 6 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Inter Milan
Friday, February 25 at 8.05pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 1-1 Genoa
Sunday, February 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Lazio
Sunday, March 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Venezia
Monday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-3 Lazio
Saturday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Napoli
Sunday, February 27 at 7.50pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Porto
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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