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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
SL

Genoa
2 - 0
SPAL

Pandev (24'), Schone (54')
Behrami (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Floccari (64'), Cerri (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawSPAL
43.3%25.77%30.93%
Both teams to score 53.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66%50.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72%72.28%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86%23.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43%57%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77%30.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61%66.39%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 43.29%
    SPAL 30.93%
    Draw 25.76%
GenoaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.37%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.93%


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