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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 23, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
CL

Lazio
2 - 1
Cagliari

Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Immobile (60')
Jony (45+1'), Lazzari (50'), Parolo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simeone (45')
Klavan (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
55.54%23.69%20.78%
Both teams to score 50.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42%49.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39%71.61%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3%17.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65%48.35%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69%38.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.93%75.07%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 55.53%
    Cagliari 20.78%
    Draw 23.68%
LazioDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 55.53%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.78%


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