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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
SC

Parma
2 - 2
Spezia

Gagliolo (34'), Kucka (90+2' pen.)
Grassi (5'), Hernani (23'), Sohm (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Chabot (28'), Agudelo (31')
Pobega (6'), Ferrer (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawSpezia
34.13%27.9%37.98%
Both teams to score 47.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.67%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61%68.39%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Score Analysis
    Parma 34.12%
    Spezia 37.98%
    Draw 27.89%
ParmaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.98%


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