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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
NL

Roma
0 - 2
Napoli


Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
44.19%24.77%31.04%
Both teams to score 57.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04%45.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.73%68.27%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14%20.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44%53.56%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41%63.59%
Score Analysis
    Roma 44.19%
    Napoli 31.04%
    Draw 24.77%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.19%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.43%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.04%

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