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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 24, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
SL

Roma
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Dzeko (64', 85')
Mkhitaryan (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gabbiadini (11')
Jankto (39'), Gabbiadini (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 16.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawSampdoria
64.47%19.35%16.19%
Both teams to score 56.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.43%37.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.2%59.8%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89%11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.73%35.27%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1%
Score Analysis
    Roma 64.47%
    Sampdoria 16.19%
    Draw 19.35%
RomaDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 7.25%
3-0 @ 7.16%
4-1 @ 4%
4-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-2 @ 2.03%
5-1 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.99%
0-0 @ 3.99%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 4.52%
0-1 @ 4.05%
0-2 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 16.19%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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