Atalanta are hitting peak form as a long season nears its end, and even if they field a less familiar starting XI, the visitors are likely to leave Stadio Arechi victorious. Salernitana are Serie B-bound, and they may struggle to get any more points on the board.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
1.06) 
-2.07) 
