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Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 29, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Citta del Tricolore
GL

Sassuolo
5 - 0
Genoa

Junior Traore (26'), Berardi (40'), Caputo (66', 77'), Raspadori (74')
Obiang (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romero (15')
Criscito (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawGenoa
45.86%22.48%31.65%
Both teams to score 65.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18%34.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21%56.79%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26%15.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.15%44.84%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85%22.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47%55.53%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 45.87%
    Genoa 31.65%
    Draw 22.48%
SassuoloDrawGenoa
2-1 @ 8.98%
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-3 @ 0.97%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3%
Total : 45.87%
1-1 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 6.77%
0-0 @ 3.49%
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 31.65%


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