Largely restricted to long-range shots against Juventus on the opening day, Sassuolo should have more space to exploit on Saturday and are set to score more than once. The hosts are more than capable of picking off Lecce, who have conceded five times in two competitive games so far.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
-0.8) 
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