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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 13, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
HV

Sassuolo
3 - 2
Hellas Verona

Locatelli (4'), Duricic (51'), Traore (81')
Duricic (52'), Locatelli (76'), Traore (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lazovic (43'), Dimarco (79')
Faraoni (29'), Magnani (55')
Pandur (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawHellas Verona
44.29%24.45%31.25%
Both teams to score 58.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54%44.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17%66.83%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8%20.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49%52.5%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54%62.45%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 44.29%
    Hellas Verona 31.25%
    Draw 24.45%
SassuoloDrawHellas Verona
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-1 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.25%

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