Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.