Both the weight of recent history and Roma's revival is against the home side on Sunday, as they attempt to pull further clear of the drop zone.
Even if Udinese do manage to take the lead, their visitors are among the best teams at fighting back late on, and in the process of taking all three points the Giallorossi can extend their unbeaten streak to a seventh Serie A game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
