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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jul 1, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Marc Antonio Bentegodi
PL

Hellas Verona
3 - 2
Parma

Di Carmine (45+3' pen.), Zaccagni (54'), Pessina (81')
Empereur (55'), Pessina (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kulusevski (14'), Gagliolo (64')
Barilla (6'), Iacoponi (15'), Hernani (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawParma
45.69%25.66%28.64%
Both teams to score 52.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03%50.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16%72.84%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27%55.73%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8%32.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31%68.68%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 45.69%
    Parma 28.64%
    Draw 25.66%
Hellas VeronaDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.64%


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