Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Como had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
