Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
