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Serie B | Gameweek 35
May 1, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Arechi
M

Salernitana
1 - 3
Monza

Gondo (51')
Veseli (70'), Casasola (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Frattesi (49'), Balotelli (81', 90+1')
Pirola (40'), Balotelli (83')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Salernitana and Monza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawMonza
33.32%27.8%38.87%
Both teams to score 48.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.27%57.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52%78.47%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65%32.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14%68.86%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27%64.73%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 33.31%
    Monza 38.87%
    Draw 27.8%
SalernitanaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 11.6%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 38.87%

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