Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
